First, a little background before we dig in. I am a moderate Republican who is strongly in favor of the death penalty and building more prisons. I also strongly believe that when someone has been through the system enough times to finally qualify for prison, they should be classified as a 'career criminal' and serve the entire length of their sentence. No early release, no parole. I also believe in the prisoners doing manual labor outside the prison and improving roads, picking up trash, shoveling snow, etc.
I am also a strong supporter of the military and the police and feel that educators are grossly underpaid. I also believe that corporal punishment should be returned to the schools. A whack with a yard stick can get a kid's attention real quick and last time I checked, all of my former classmates are doing just fine.
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Who's going to win? The United States has treated women as second class citizens for a couple hundred years and while it has gotten better, men still roll their eyes when a woman is mentioned for president.
EVEN BLACK MEN are rolling their eyes and snorting when KAMALA HARRIS' name is mentioned and she NEEDS their votes to climb the mountain. Their thought process is "We won't vote for Trump but we can't vote for a woman to be president" and their indifference is so notable that even former President BARACK OBAMA has gotten involved, imploring the black men in Georgia to get out and vote for her. The reported reaction was more grumbling and shoulder shrugging. 'Nuff said.
Let there be no mistake about it. Kamala Harris is the most liberal candidate I have ever seen except for BERNIE SANDERS. She also has a case of the flip-flops on several key issues but Trump failed to press her on those issues when he got his ass kicked in the debate.
Opportunity lost.
Now let's go to the other side of the fence where my party has the village idiot running for president. If you disagree with him, you become his mortal enemy and he wants to hunt you down. He is buddy-buddy with VLADIMIR PUTIN and thinks Putin did the right thing by invading Ukraine.
He is a convicted felon and facing possible jail time, whether he's elected or not and remember that he can't pardon himself from a state charge. He's also been convicted in a civil case of sexual assault and has displayed ZERO RESPECT for women through the years and that really bothers me.
After the ass beating, he has cancelled interviews and refused to participate in a second debate and continues to call Harris names, again like a pouting child. And calling her a SHITTY VICE-PRESIDENT (exact quote) is just uncalled for in any event. You just don't do that when the microphone is hot.
Now my entire life, I've heard that 'all politicians lie' but the thing about Trump is that he even lies about lying. He is like a petulant child when he doesn't get his own way. He single handedly broke down a bi-partisan agreement regarding the border because he didn't have any input and didn't want JOE BIDEN to have a win.
He lied about immigrants in Ohio eating cats and dogs and to this day, despite overwhelming testimony by city officials to the contrary, has refused to retract or apologize. In my opinion, he is not fit to lead our country and, God forbid, be in charge of our military.
BUT WHO WINS??? Just jot this down. They all talk about Pennsylvania but Harris has more problems than that. She'll carry the left coast plus New Mexico & Colorado for sure but her problem starts in the mid-west because while Illinois & Minnesota are in her pocket, she is in a dead heat in Wisconsin & Michigan and if she loses either of those states, she can wave the white flag because then the Pennsylvania election becomes moot. She needs EVERY STATE in her wheel house to end up with 270 electoral votes, the minimum to be elected. (And if you're counting on one of those interactive boards, remember to include the ONE electoral vote from Nebraska)
Simply put, she NEEDS Nevada, Wisconsin AND Michigan before even thinking about Pennsylvania
Ok, if that's too much math, let's do it this way. If she loses either of the 3 states mentioned above, then she'll need either Georgia or North Carolina to make up those votes plus she still needs Pennsylvania. If I was a betting man, I would bet on Trump to win 281-259
Harris will win everything above Pennsylvania but unless men get off their recliners, it's all over and then we get to hold our breath for 4 years.
IF WAS A BETTING MAN...... just like Hillary in 2016, Harris wins the popular vote but Trump wins the election 281-256.
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